Saturday, March 14, 2020

Why the Private Individuals and Organization Are Ahead of the Government in Responding to Coronavirus

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For the past couple of weeks coronavirus has been in the news. Back in Dec 2019 China had a number of cases of pneumonia and then within the first week of December 2019 the Chinese government confirmed that these individuals actually had confirmed this was coronavirus. Since then there has been fear, angst, and anxiety around the world regarding how quickly the coronavirus has spread (as a result people are hoarding toilet paper, antibacterial soap, and bottled water acting as if the world will end). While I feel the spread of the coronavirus is awful I believe the federal government has only made the problem worse with excessive regulation and now allowing the decentralization of decisions from private companies, individuals, and organizations to override government power. Some companies have voluntarily told employees to work from home to avoid the spread of the virus while others have even created their own coronavirus schedule. Luckily there are some individuals and private organizations that are helping out.

The first major issue has been the ability to test individuals who have the coronavirus. During the months of January and February 2020 the number of coronavirus cases in China was rapidly increasing however The Centers for Disease Control (CDC) decided to create it's own test rather than use the World Health Organization (WHO). The CDC has issues in terms of having people testing positive (who actually didn't have the disease).  What is insane is the FDA requires the CDC to retest every positive corona virus test run by a public health lab for accuracy (the CDC is also the same organization that predicts 1.7 million in the U.S. will die from coronavirus).  I remember hearing on the news that samples for the coronavirus "had" to be sent to Atlanta first and having the thought "why?-surely there are thousands of other labs in the country that could test for coronavirus". 

Now take the case of a German scientist named Olfert Landt within 10 days after the New Year created a viable test kit for coronavirus. Landt and his team worked 12-14 hours per day (his son works a "part-time 60 hours a week" job) and within the past 2 months the company has created 40,000 test kits. The test kits run about $180 each and he has received orders from all around the world. The company has produced enough test kits to have 4 million individual tests. What is interesting is the test is just a throat/nasal swab and the results can be found within a few hours. The WHO began shipping these tests out February 1, 2020. The CDC created a test was then approved by the FDA on February 4, 2020. However the results of the CDC test were flawed as an ingredient in the CDC test created false results. It wasn't until February 29, 2020 that the FDA allowed hospitals to use their own tests for coronavirus. 

There are even situations were individuals take testing matters into their own hands and the government shuts it down. Dr. Helen Y Chu (she went to Duke for medical school and taught at Harvard Medical School) in Seattle who is both board certified in infectious diseases and internal medicine. The Seattle Flu Study (funding came from the family office of Bill Gates) studied individuals who were both health and sick individuals to try to help the city of Seattle detect the flu earlier, develop new ways to treat, and help the city prevent outbreak. The Seattle Flu Study is constantly taking nasal swabs from residents in the area so had good data on what the general flu looked like. On February 25, 2020 Dr. Chu and her team couldn't wait any longer and decided to take matters into their own hands and began performing their own coronavirus tests. The government from both federal and state levels had told Dr. Chu and her colleagues that no they could not create their own tests for multiple reasons. The first is patients never gave their explicit permission, and the labs were not certified by the FDA because the lab would have to meet Medicare standards-this could take many months before approval. The FDA for example would require the test to be run 5 times on the sample sample to validate it (which is insane since the number of positive cases for coronavirus is so few given the lack of testing due to government mismanagement). The CDC promised kits would be distributed within days (days would turn into weeks). It wasn't like you had Elizabeth Holmes running these tests. The CDC told the Seattle Flu Group creating their own test would not be possible. The CDC and FDA told Dr. Chu to stop testing thousands of samples they had already collected from individuals. During this time 22 people were dying from coronavirus. 

So not just anyone can start a lab (this isn't Breaking Bad). In order to be certified by you first have to comply with The Clinical Laboratory Improvement Act of 1967. Let's not forget the Clinical Laboratory Improvement Amendments of 1988.  The 1988 was passed in response to false negative Pap smear tests. Also let's not forget each state may have their own regulations which may be even more stringent than the federal laws. Under this act any facility that performs testing under the law is considered a lab-even if only a few basic tests are performed and the lab isn't charging. If you want to start a clinical laboratory. Here is the 10 page application you have to fill out to get certificate from Medicare. The certificate is only valid for a 2 year period. Oh and before signing the application you must make sure you comply with Section 353 of the Public Health Service Act you could possibly be imprisoned for up to one year. Let's also remember if someone violates the regulations they could face possibly: criminal penalties, up to a year in prison, a fine of $10,000 per day, and possibly not able to participate in other federal programs. In 1995, inspections showed that 80% of labs had compliance issues. Thankfully Medicare publishes the top 10 deficiencies of labs. Regulations also specify who can work in the lab. For example an individual that performs "high complexity testing" must either be a doctor or have at least a science undergraduate/associates degree with 60 semester hours of sciences (chemistry/biology/etc), complete a training course, have at least 3 months of laboratory training in each specialty in which the individual performs high complexity testing. So if you were a philosophy major don't bother getting near a laboratory. It should be pointed out that the smaller to medium size laboratories are not getting rich either. About 50% of laboratories have a profit margin at 3% or less (meanwhile companies like LabCorp/Quest Diagnostics and other labs are able to generate much higher profit margins because of their scale and size). Medicare recently also increased the fees on these labs by 20%. Now depending on the type of lab (determined by how many tests are performed each lab could be paying up to tends of thousands of dollars for each certificate.  

As I write this 9 different companies are working on a vaccine for the coronavirus. It looks like Gilead Sciences is the furthest along with an IV treatment (remdesivir) currently in a Phase 3 trial (the treatment has already been used on a woman in California who was on the verge of death who improved after taking the drug (it should be pointed out it took the CDC 4 days to just to agree to evaluate the samples (it didn't meet their strict criteria) and then another 3 days for the results to come back. As her health declined her doctors at UC Davis applied for compassionate use (the drug manufacturer has allowed hundreds of patients to try remdesivir) from the FDA which would allow patients that are not part of a clinical trial to test a drug. Also it is believed that the earlier the drug is administered the higher probability there is to help the patient. The government wasting time telling a patient they are too sick to get treatment most likely made the woman worse off than she would have otherwise have been. Also if someone is dying don't they have a right to their own life and what treatments they receive? As I write this a Canadian company has said it has a "vaccine candidate" just 20 days after obtaining the gene of the virus and once they get the green light could produce 2 million doses/month. My question is why can't patients work privately to determine what drugs are best for them? Most likely by the end of the year with all these companies working on vaccines and probably even more will try to enter to create a vaccine (remember it usually takes 10-15 years to create a vaccine). 

Speaking of testing just yesterday the FDA approved a test (as I write this the first approval from the FDA from a private company-the only other approved tests are from the New York Department of Health and the CDC). According to Roche the company can provide millions of tests every month and can test patients 10 times faster than their old system. Speaking of testing as I write this there is a testing capacity of ~27,000 patients per day. It is important there are over 260,000 clinical laboratories in the country. Although hospital labs are only roughly 5% of the labs they perform 55% of all the lab testing. Innovators and entrepreneurs have came into the market and are offering different ways to diagnose coronavirus. One small biotech company called Aytu Bioscience in Denver will be able to test for the virus with just a small drop of blood within 10 minutes! This blood test has already been used in China for the past 6 weeks (however the company needs to get emergency approval from the FDA). There has even been some innovation with setting up drive through coronavirus testing. Speaking of Colorado another company has devised a UV light that kills 99.9% of bacteria and viruses (however it is not known if it can kill the coronavirus but the companies believes it can). Entrepreneurs, companies, and organizations are much better at quickly adapting to solve problems (even in national pandemics) then government entities given the incentives at stake. The market would develop a coronavirus test that could be ordered off Amazon Prime or have someone pick up at Wal-Mart/Target/CVS. 

Many people have talked about how the hospitals will be overburdened with the coronavirus as a result of many people possibly needing to be hospitalized. One big issue is that certain states have are certificate of need (CON) laws that prevent just anyone from opening a hospital or medical facility without first getting approval from the state. There are currently 36 states that have CON laws. A study showed that having these laws actually reduces the number of hospital beds to patients (beds that could be taking care of patients with coronavirus). In some states this can add up to 10,000-20,000 hospital beds for some states. Now when you aggregate all the states that have these laws you are looking at many thousands of people who wouldn't be able to access healthcare because of regulation.

It is important to note much of the advancement in fighting the coronvirus has come from private individuals and organizations. Scientists from around the world were the first to sequence the genome of the coronavirus and put it online for others to study. A German company created a testing kit that is now being used around the world (while the CDC couldn't even get an accurate test out and could only produce it in limited quantities. Compare this to the power of Roche, LabCorp, Quest Diagnostics who were ready to step in with their tests (these companies can run substantially higher number of tests and more accurate than the CDC testing), however were blocked by the FDA and the CDC. The many weeks of delay from the FDA and CDC could have allowed individuals to get tested for the virus and given them the knowledge to know whether or not they poses a risk to others. The U.S. government knew for many months of the coronavirus and it looks like finally this coming week will have enough tests for people. Also you may have many people worrying if they have the disease which may cause them anxiety and panic for the fear of not knowing. I have no doubt that a private company or organization will find a vaccine for this virus. The real heroes are those individuals who are working day and night trying to advance the understanding, treatment, and hopefully cure for the coronavirus. The coronavirus like many other things has taught us that viruses move much faster than government bureaucracy and red tape. The collective efforts of Gilead, Roche, Olfert Landt, Dr. Helen Chu and Aytu Bioscience have done more to help individuals around than the FDA or CDC could ever dream of. 

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