Bloomberg Article: Medical School $278,000 Debt (Because Lack of Free Markets)

This recent story from Bloomberg got me somewhat irritated today. The story discusses how medical school students are burdened with medical school debt. Going to a private medical school for 2012-2013 is over $50,000 according to the AAMC. What is really shocking is that 79% of medical school students will have more than $100,000 in debt. Note this is just for going to medical school this doesn’t even begin to look at overall debt (mortgage, car payments, credit card debt, etc).

I examined the 2012 physician compensation report (by Medscape) which can be found here. Salaries range on the low end of $156,000 for pediatrics to $315,000 for radiology. Specialties like gastroenterology can make over $300,000 while plastic surgeons make $270,000 and internal medicine doctors make $165,000. What I found it interesting that 9% of doctors don’t discuss the cost of treatments considering they don’t even know what the costs are. In the business world you would be out of business if you had no idea what the costs were.

The question is why is medical school become so expensive? Medical knowledge has only grown exponentially over time and you could argue doctors know actually face competition because patients can often Google their symptoms and figure out what they have (doctors also use Google as well). This surgeon discusses what practicing surgery was like in the 1970’s.

Supercomputer Watson (made by IBM) can analyzed 1.5 million records in seconds, attend medical school under a minute, in just two years researchers at the for-profit IBM have reduced the size of Watson from a master bedroom to a pizza box while increasing the speed by 240%. Conventional medicine can get diagnoses right only 50% of the time while Watson can get around 90% of cases correct (less for cancer given how complex they are). Of course, these percentages will only improve over time.

What is interesting is that the average MCAT and GPA scores of the people who get accepted into medical school has steadily risen since 2001. According to this medical journal from 1911 there were 129 medical schools which is roughly the same number of medical schools in 2013! Granted since 1911 the population has exponentially grown exponentially so by definition there are fewer people per doctors.  This may be why so many doctors don’t spend much time with patients.

A no-brainer would be to allow more medical schools to open to allow let more people become physicians. Starting a medical school is no easy task either. Another no brainer is allowing nurse

practitioners and physicians assistants as I mentioned in this post. The empirical evidence I have seen shows nurse practitioners and physician assistants as just as effective as doctors and cost a fraction of what doctors cost.  The cost of medical education falls is yet another example of the Peter Rule. The Peter Rule which states that: over time if prices rise and qualify suffers look to government intervention as the culprit.